2.3 – Aviation Policy Options for not Exceeding the EU +2 ◦C Threshold

By Paul Upham, Alice Bows, Kevin Anderson and John Broderick

uphamUpham and his colleagues discuss the disjuncture between EU aviation emissions growth and the EU climate change commitment to not exceeding a 2 ◦C rise in global mean surface temperature above the pre-industrial level. They mention that the EU ETS, as it is currently developing, will not adequately manage the high levels of growth in aviation emissions. Sector wide innovation adoption is necessary in order to face sustainability expectations. E.g. in the long term, fuel-switching is the most important one. In the short term, however, reduced passenger growth, probably best incentivised by a rise in ticket prices, is necessary to avoid over-consumption of the contracting carbon budget.

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